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Date: Mon, 20 Nov 2006 04:48:38 +0000
From: Erik Naggum <erik@naggum.no>
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Subject: [Diskusjon] UK poll: 42% think faith is as evil as smallpox
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I always urge some degree of caution on polls commissioned by pressure 
groups - not because any of the pollsters would willingly ask skewed 
questions, but because if pressure groups didn’t think they were going 
to get the answers they wanted they wouldn’t pay for or release the 
poll. It does cheer me up when a pressure group commissions a poll and 
gets an answer that obviously wasn’t the one they expected to get, 
especially when they have the guts to publish it anyway.
    Theos, a new Christian think tank, heralded their launch by 
commissioning a poll from Communicate Research. They started by taking 
one of Richard Dawkins’ more confrontational statements and asking if 
people agreed with it: “Faith is one of the world’s great evils, 
comparable to the smallpox virus but harder to eradicate”. Smallpox is 
obviously vastly unpleasant, evil is a harsh word, and as Matthew Parris 
noted in the Spectator last week, “faith” is a nice word, without the 
negative connetations of “religion”. Obviously people were going to 
think that “faith” was nicer than “smallpox”.
    Rather surprisingly though, 42% of people said they agreed with 
Dawkins with only 44% disagreeing, much to the amusement of the British 
Humanist Association and Labour Humanists.
    The rest of the survey found that 53% of people thought that, on 
balance, religion was a force for good in society, with 39% of people 
disagreeing. 58% of people though that Christianity has an important 
role to play in public life, with 37% disagreeing. On the latter 
question there was a very obvious age difference, the older respondents 
were the most likely they were to think that Christianity has a role in 
public life - 69% of over 65s agreed, with only 24% disagreeing. Amonst 
the youngest age group, under 25s, only 43% agreed with 52% disagreeing.
    To Theos’s great credit they reported the first question along with 
the other results, the Telegraph’s reporting is rather less sound: the 
question that doesn’t fit with the story is only mentioned in the 
commentary to try and shoehorn in a trend of young people being less 
likely to agree with Dawkins that doesn’t actually exist (compare the 
first and last question. On whether Christianity should have a role in 
public life there is a strong and consistent trend -amongst every age 
group the younger you are the more likely you are to disagree with an 
almost as smooth trend on agreement, with only 35-44s slightly bucking 
the trend. The difference between under 25s and over 65s agreements is 
26 points, a significant difference. On the Dawkins question the figures 
are up and down with no clear pattern and the difference between 
youngest and oldest is only 7 points, so not statistically significant).

http://www.ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/899

Det hadde vært interessant å se hvor mange skandinaver som også har 
forstått at religiøs tro er et like stort onde som kopper. Vi har 
tradisjonelt vært betydelig mindre fortapt i religiøs fiksjon og 
fantasier enn britene.

Erik Naggum
-- 
Member of AAAS ACM AMS APS ASA EMS IEEE IMS MAA NYAS NBF NFF NMF
Probability is not about the odds. It is about the belief in the
existence of an alternative outcome, cause, or motive.  -- Taleb
ID: 2006-324-16916  http://erik.naggum.no/sources-and-resources/

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